Endogenous fluctuations and the balanced-budget rule: taxes versus spending-based adjustment
Maxime Menuet  1, 2  , Minea Alexandru  3@  , Patrick Villieu  4  
1 : Centre d\'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - Clermont Auvergne  (CERDI)  -  Site web
Université Clermont Auvergne : UMR6587, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique : UMR6587
Université Clermont Auvergne, École d\'économie - CNRSPôle tertiaire, 26 avenue Léon Blum - F-63000 CLERMONT-FERRAND Cedex -  France
2 : Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orléans  (LEO)
Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orléans
3 : Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International
CNRS : UMR6587
4 : Laboratoire d'économie d'Orleans  (LEO)  -  Site web
Université d'Orléans, CNRS : UMR7322
bat. A Rue de Blois - BP 6739 45067 ORLEANS CEDEX 2 -  France

The present paper develops a simple theoretical setup to examine the role of the tax-spending
mix of fiscal adjustments on aggregate (in)stability in indebted economies. To this end, we
build an AK endogenous growth model with public debt dynamics. If the adjustment of the
government's budget constraint is based on a single instrument (taxes or public spending), the
economy converges towards a high-growth path. With mixed adjustment, however, another
equilibrium appears (the no-growth path) that can be locally over-determined (unstable) or
under-determined (stable). A hopf bifurcation can occur at the border between the last two
cases, which leads to cyclical dynamics. We also show that global indeterminacy is likely to
emerge if fiscal adjustment is mainly based on public spending. A calibration of the model
shows that the area of indeterminacy covers reasonable values for parameters.


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